Categories: Mortgages
Topics: interest rate| variable rate| fixed rate| first time buyers
The popularity of fixed-rate mortgages continued to fall in October, with their share of the market falling to 26.3%, according to John Charcol.
This is the smallest market share since November 2008, and a dramatic decline from a peak of 83.1% just four months ago.
Drew Wotherspoon, spokesperson for John Charcol, says: "The rollercoaster movement in product choice reflects the rapid change in mortgage pricing and interest rate sentiment over the last year. With the outlook for interest rates little changed over the last month an even higher proportion of borrowers chose a variable-rate mortgage, in most cases a tracker.
"The Bank of England's announcement this month of an extension of the quantitative easing programme by a further £25bn is another indication that Bank base rate is unlikely to rise in the next few months. Even if longer term fixed rates don't get much cheaper than those currently available at just under 5%, there seems a good prospect that borrowers on a variable rate will be able to benefit from rates more than 2% lower for the time being and then switch to a similarly priced fixed rate later."
Wotherspoon says first-time buyer activity as a percentage of total purchases increased to 15.3% in October, although many potential buyers are still shut out of the market because of the lack of an adequate deposit or failing to meet lenders' onerous credit score requirements for high-LTV mortgages.
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Accident waiting to happen
If the increase in variable rate mortgages has been a result of "non advsied" purchases direct from lenders, then if interest rates go up and people start struggling to meet repayments, this will vindicate the argument that mortgages should be arranged on an advised basis. If however it is the case that a lot of brokers have been advising variable rates and these people were tight on affordability anyway, then if rates go up I could see a lot of brokers in trouble. Either way this looks like an accident waiting to happen. The higher the base rate, to some extent the argment could be for NOT having a fix or capped rate, but with base rate as low as it is now with the increased margins being charged by lenders on their variables including base rate linked loans this could be a realpayment shock.
Posted by: Accident waiting to happen