Ted Scott: Stockpile equities if they fall a further 5%

Author: Kyle Caldwell
IFAonline | 09 Aug 2011 | 15:20

Categories: Investment

Topics: F&C

scott-ted

F&C's Ted Scott said if UK equities dive a further 5% they will be worth stockpiling, despite the risk of a double-dip recession.

The director of global strategy said the market has been dramatically oversold and is set to bounce back in the event of eurozone policymakers coming up with a solution to the debt crisis.

He believes, unlike the last financial crisis, the valuation floor is not far below current levels due to bad news already being discounted by the market.

"Share prices are already implying a significant downgrade in earnings over 2011/12, and if equities fall a further 5%-10% they will be worth accumulating despite the risk of recession," said Scott.

"Markets are clearly oversold and overdue a technical bounce as, although the vast majority of economies have high debt burdens, they are still growing.

"Companies remain in strong financial shape and are delivering good profit along with dividend growth."

He warned for markets to have a sustainable rebound, authorities need to focus on solvency as opposed to pumping more money into peripheral nations.

He added until this is addressed, the threat of a double-dip recession will intensify and markets will remain in turmoil.

"For markets to have a sustained rally it is necessary for the eurozone to come up with a credible solution to its debt crisis," said Scott.

"It will have to demonstrate it can be durable and address the burning issue of solvency rather than the liquidity based approach the ECB is takign with the purchases of Spanish and Italian debt."

Scott added equity valuations are at levels rarely seen in recent decades, and are particularly attractive compared to government bonds.

"The UK market is on about 9x P/E for December 2012 that equates to an earnings yield of over 11% compared to a 10-year gilt yield of about 2.75% and a negative equivalent real gilt yield," he said.

More investment news

Recommended reading

Categories

Topics

Comments

There are no comments submitted yet. Do you have an interesting opinion? Then be the first to post a comment

Related articles

Most Read

Audio / Visual

Coffee Lounge

View all the winners here

PPR Structured Product Awards 2011

View all the winners here

This year we have 14 awards designed to mark out the very best products in a highly competitive and innovative market. This includes three new awards for 2011 to reflect the developments in this rapidly growing market: Best Dual/Multi-Index Product, Best Structured (Oeic) Fund and Best Structured Product Provider.

Events

event logo

International Fund & Product Awards 2012

14 Jun 2012 - 14 Jun 2012

London, UK

event logo

British Mortgage Awards 2012

03 Jul 2012 - 03 Jul 2012

London, UK

event logo

Cover Webinars

04 Jul 2012 - 04 Jul 2012

London, UK

Poll

Are you more likely to use a Structured Product for:

In Focus

Viewpoints